Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 86.946457 97.056779 107.345211 118.567529 130.433643 142.578804 155.920720
2025-08-24 71.443141 86.094463 101.618118 119.166547 138.334132 158.526595 181.300703
2025-08-31 60.769678 77.789451 96.389621 117.971160 142.084990 167.985632 197.701918
2025-09-07 54.123139 73.034382 94.255315 119.410511 148.028761 179.231749 215.496744
2025-09-14 48.999070 69.410856 92.868355 121.198909 153.926756 190.057026 232.492433
2025-09-21 43.243671 64.490724 89.519808 120.321120 156.440940 196.794821 244.663817
2025-09-28 37.514824 59.108309 85.212496 117.953084 156.919816 200.960405 253.699124
2025-10-05 35.712849 58.486788 86.514259 122.118244 164.907322 213.630769 272.330599
2025-10-12 33.376345 56.966702 86.549805 124.625933 170.838505 223.854248 288.107470
2025-10-19 29.910715 53.681277 84.166562 124.006808 172.906782 229.478858 298.499659
2025-10-26 26.804471 50.643070 81.910936 123.386128 174.842840 234.846295 308.509055
2025-11-02 24.503944 48.554178 80.750794 124.023742 178.214798 241.837893 320.357137
2025-11-09 21.796596 45.704950 78.482364 123.198384 179.782510 246.713967 329.792119
2025-11-16 19.732707 43.648432 77.164586 123.505989 182.688341 253.151289 341.048186
2025-11-23 17.376101 40.936216 74.801248 122.334622 183.656875 257.187640 349.403823
2025-11-30 16.057645 39.755377 74.489534 123.796232 187.883448 265.128938 362.380293
2025-12-07 14.957089 38.837050 74.487252 125.623144 192.540902 273.575489 375.952057
2025-12-14 13.184787 36.623374 72.515845 124.726901 193.671780 277.676017 384.287298
2025-12-21 11.188432 33.800176 69.507252 122.309391 192.762871 279.206832 389.476903
2025-12-28 11.002953 34.254313 71.368684 126.561349 200.463201 291.350396 407.485805
2026-01-04 10.427559 33.924278 72.017455 129.120688 205.960071 300.770553 422.207809
2026-01-11 9.177049 32.168099 70.412270 128.488853 207.258549 304.957836 430.565787
2026-01-18 8.039406 30.496222 68.851717 127.855403 208.507562 309.050075 438.783918